Monday, June 27, 2022

China and Taiwan, "Yes, We are That Close to War"

 With all the chaos happening this year we are quite frankly surprised that China hasn't already invaded Taiwan.   We are quite sure that, in spite of U.S. promises to defend Taiwan, America is not going to go to nuclear war with China over Taiwan.  Meanwhile China grows more aggressive in it's actions to let the world know that they consider Taiwan to be Chinese territory and they WILL take it back.

Taiwan needs to let China know that it has some super powerful missiles and would be willing to use them to destroy the Three Gorges Dam which would kill hundreds of thousands of Chinese.

Will China risk it?  Would Taiwan actually launch it?

At least one of Taiwan's "eggs" can kill tens of millions of Chinese, perhaps more.

The range of Taiwan's Yun Feng cruise missile has never been publicly confirmed, but analysts believe it to be about 1,240 miles, sufficient to reach both the Chinese capital and the Three Gorges Dam, the world's largest flood-control structure.

China's dam creates a reservoir of 39.3 billion cubic meters of water on the Yangtze River and is upstream from about 400 million people. Almost 30% of China's population, therefore, is at risk of a catastrophic failure of the structure, such as one caused by a missile strike. That means Taiwan possesses a conventional weapon that packs the wallop of a nuclear one.

When it comes to deterrence, however, quantity counts. "China now has significant superiority over Taiwan in terms of total combat aircraft and warships," Richard Fisher of the International Assessment and Strategy Center told Gatestone. "The People's Liberation Army can call on thousands of civilian barges and about 4,000 Boeing and Airbus airliners to transport the bulk of its invasion and occupation force to Taiwan."

Therefore, Taiwan, to deter China, needs thousands of missiles, perhaps tens of thousands of them. Taiwan's Yun Feng production rate has never been publicly confirmed, but it is clear that the island republic does not now possess a sufficient number of them.

The United States should have been actively encouraging Taiwan to develop missiles two decades ago, but it did not. The Obama administration even "tried to actively discourage Taiwan from acquiring such missiles," Fisher told John Batchelor's "CBS Eye on the World" radio program on the 21st of this month.

Now, the United States needs to help Taiwan improve the speed and range of its missiles and, of course, increase the number of them.

Moreover, Taiwan needs to ensure that China cannot destroy its Yun Feng missiles in an initial attack. Some of Taiwan's missiles are on vulnerable fixed launchers but most of them are on mobile ones, Fisher told Gatestone.

On June 21, China flew 29 planes, including six nuclear-capable H-6 bombers, through Taiwan's air-defense identification zone, the ninth incursion this month. "The latest large-scale exercise by the #PLA shows authoritarian #China's military threat is more serious than ever," tweeted Taiwan Foreign Minister Joseph Wu from his ministry's official account.

The Chinese planes followed a track through international airspace, but the June 21 flight is nonetheless considered hostile. These air-zone provocations have become continuous in recent months and follow a far more serious act. On February 5, China flew one of its aircraft directly over one of Taiwan's outlying islands, a blatant violation of sovereign airspace.

"The campaign of intimidation is only going to become larger and bolder," Fisher told Gatestone, before the June 21 incursion.

Up to now, the United States has tried to manage the situation across the Taiwan Strait by not angering China. The American policy has in fact prevented an invasion, but it worked in a generally benign period and that benign period has clearly passed.

Now, China's regime looks as if it wants to go to war. The harsh remarks of China's Defense Minister, General Wei Fenghe, at the Shangri-La Dialogue in Singapore this month, are a clear warning of hostile intent.

China has targets, and Taiwan has missiles. That translates into deterrence if Taiwan makes it clear that, in the defense of its sovereignty, it is prepared to take Chinese lives in the hundreds of millions.

Warnings of this kind kept the peace in Europe during the Cold War, despite the Soviet Union's overwhelming conventional military advantage over Western European nations.

For decades, Taiwan politicians were reluctant to talk about their island's ability to kill Chinese people in great numbers. Now, they obviously think they must speak out, and forcefully. Making threats of inflicting mass casualties is perhaps the last lever Taiwan has to keep the peace in East Asia.

Yes, we are that close to war.

Here;  Taiwan's Message for China: We Have a Nuke-Like Weapon :: Gatestone Institute

This is a BIG FILE to be filed into the "Wars and Rumors of War" bin.

It really does make one wonder how much longer THE RESTRAINER is going to be able to restrain the godless hordes of humanity!  They are everywhere and they seem really pissed!  And with only 6% of Americans having a biblical worldview it makes us wonder how much RESTRAINING can be done in and by the USA anymore?

2 Thessalonians 2

7 For the secret power of lawlessness is already at work; but the one who now holds it back will continue to do so till he [the restrainer] is taken out of the way. 8 And then the lawless one will be revealed, whom the Lord Jesus will overthrow with the breath of his mouth and destroy by the splendor of his coming.


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