Tuesday, July 26, 2022

Ranchers Forced to Sell Entire Herds

 The article headline says that ranchers are in panic mode.  I've known lots of ranchers and I find it hard to see any of them in a panic over really anything.  But no doubt, it has to be really hard to get to the point where you simply can't justify the cost of raising cattle because your pastures are gone, your water is gone and hay is too expensive to buy and have trucked in from hundreds of miles away.

As the author says, when all these drought cattle hit the market it will make the price of beef go down because most of them will go to slaughter and there will be a glut of beef on the market.  But just wait til next year when there aren't as many calves being born but just as many hungry Americans to feed.

Another element adding to the perfect storm.

So now even if you can find hay for sale it is usually so expensive that it is simply not economical.  Without any other options that make sense, some cattle ranchers in Texas have actually decided to go ahead and sell their entire herds...

Central Texas ranchers have little hay to feed their cows due to drought conditions. That means some ranchers are now selling their entire herds, including older ones who might not thrive in the drier and hot conditions.

"Some of these ranchers are just totally out of grass, totally out of water," Uptmore said. "Their backs are against the wall and they don't have any other option."

The good news is that a flood of beef is coming into the supply chain right now.

And that will certainly help keep short-term prices stable.

But what will we do next year and beyond?

According to Bloomberg, many ranchers that are showing up at these auctions are literally in "panic mode" because they are so eager to sell off their animals...

Ranchers in top cattle state Texas can't sell their herds fast enough with 100-degree Fahrenheit temperatures making it too expensive to sustain animals.

Costs for feed, fertilizer and fuel have been soaring. There's also a lack of water in the state, and little hay. That's resulting in a firehouse of cattle getting auctioned at Texas sale barns. Emory Livestock Auction Inc., just over an hour's drive east from Dallas, is seeing nearly quadruple normal rates with ranchers in "panic mode," said Jack Robinson, an 83-year-old auctioneer.

Normally ranchers would wait until their cattle have reached a desired weight before finally selling them off.

Unfortunately, this relentless drought is forcing many ranchers to "sell smaller"...

Cattle rancher Anthony Vybiral, in the business since the 90s, says drought conditions are forcing ranchers like him to "sell smaller."

During a normal season, calves weigh up to 600 pounds, Vyviral said. Now, the rancher said, "some of them have been weighing 375 to 450 and they've been selling them."

At the end of the day, ranching is a business.

These guys are trying to make whatever money that they can under the circumstances.

Of course most Americans never even think about where the meat that they eat comes from, but we should.

Because as Texas rancher Jarrod Montford has pointed out, we depend on a very small sliver of the population to feed all the rest of us...

"1.6, 1.7% of the population feeds the rest. It's not how bad are we at the end of the day," Monfort said. "It's the fact that if we don't survive, our nation fails," said Montford.

He is right.

We need our farmers and our ranchers, and we don't appreciate them nearly enough.

Looking ahead, there is reason to be extremely concerned.

The national cattle herd has been getting smaller for quite a while, and now that trend threatens to greatly accelerate...

The nation's cow herd has been shrinking for the past two years, but this summer's drought is sending much of the breeding herd to the processing plant. That will cut into calf numbers for the next two to three years.

What we desperately need is a break in the weather.

So let us hope for cooler temperatures and lots of rain.

Unfortunately, this next week is supposed to be a sizzler, and that will especially be true in the Southwest...

About 85% of the US population -- or 273 million people -- could see high temperatures above 90 degrees over the next week. And about 55 million people could see high temperatures at or above 100 degrees over the next seven days.

On Saturday, "sizzling temperatures" will take hold of the Middle Mississippi Valley and Central Plains with temperatures forecast to surpass 100 degrees, the weather prediction center said.

Daytime temperatures could top 100 degrees across much of the Southwest, with some areas exceeding 110 degrees, according to the center.

Of course all of this is happening within the context of the worst global food crisis in decades.

Famines are already erupting all over the world, and global food supplies are getting tighter with each passing day.

We were warned that this was coming, but most people didn't want to listen.

Now a day of reckoning is nearly upon us.

I would definitely encourage you to stock up on meat in the weeks ahead while it is still relatively cheap, because the outlook for 2023 and beyond is definitely not promising.

Here;  Ranchers Go Into Panic Mode - Drought Leads To Cattle Sell Off (prophecynewswatch.com)

I have been telling folks the same thing.  One of the best things to do with your money is to buy a freezer and make sure it's stuffed full, cuz the price of food is going up while the availability of food is going down.

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